Probability of ASF introduction into South Korea via the
legal import of live pigs
The overall mean annual
probability of ASF introduction into South Korea via the legal import of
live pigs was estimated as 1.58×10-7(1.52~1.65×10-7 95% Confidence
Interval, CI). This value approximately corresponds with an outbreak of
ASF every 6.31×106 years
(6.05~6.59×106 years 95% CI). Canada
took 80.8% of mean annual probability followed by France (9.1%),
Denmark (5.1%), and USA (4.4%) (Figure 2).