Probability of ASF introduction into South Korea via the legal import of live pigs
The overall mean annual probability of ASF introduction into South Korea via the legal import of live pigs was estimated as 1.58×10-7(1.52~1.65×10-7 95% Confidence Interval, CI). This value approximately corresponds with an outbreak of ASF every 6.31×106 years (6.05~6.59×106 years 95% CI). Canada took 80.8% of mean annual probability followed by France (9.1%), Denmark (5.1%), and USA (4.4%) (Figure 2).