| Model |
Non-seasonal terms |
Non-seasonal terms |
Non-seasonal terms |
Seasonal terms |
Seasonal terms |
Seasonal terms |
Season |
AIC |
Autocorrelation |
Residuals: median, mean |
|
p |
d |
q |
P |
D |
Q |
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
1215.28 |
None |
-16.8,
0.00 |
| 2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
12 |
1135.00 |
None |
0.00, -0.81 |
| 3 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
1207.60 |
None |
-14.09, -1.11 |
| 4 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
12 |
1135.18 |
20
months = -0.18 |
-0.01, 0.22 |
| 5 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
12 |
1129.00 |
None |
-0.04, 0.41 |