Umbrella Driver
Business-as-Usual 2030
More Sustainable 2030
Lifestyle & Connectedness to the oceans Engagement with local environment and coasts patchy High community engagement with local environment and coasts leading to reduced loneliness in some localities and higher connectedness to the oceans
International tourism continues to increase (influencers promoting ‘must-see’ & ‘last-chance’ destinations) International tourism continues to be popular but also increase in local recreation, participation in citizen science opportunities etc) (influencers are increasing promoting local recreation opportunities, citizen science)
Carbon offsetting a mainstream behaviour but efficacy in reducing emissions questioned Carbon offsetting schemes have received considerable attention and efficacy has improved dramatically
Influx of tourism dollars to destinations but often not shared with local community, is increasing living costs for locals and leading to loss of access to coasts due to privatisation reducing connection to oceans Influx of tourism dollars to destinations but more equitable sharing of income derived from tourists