Figure 3: Predicted change in current climatic suitability under moderate future climate change (SSP1) (a) and severe climate change (SSP5) (b) of cultivated alien plants of Southern Africa by 2081-2100 separated by their biomes. The dots represent the observed mean of the predicted change of a certain group. The lines are the 95% bootstrapped confidence intervals of the means of 1000 resamples from the population of species of a certain group. Red, blue and black lines indicate whether the mean of the group is significantly larger, small or not different from zero. The violin plots show the distribution of the means of predicted changes sampled by bootstrapping from the population of all species. Red, blue, and black dots indicate whether the observed means are significantly higher, lower, or not different from the random expectations, respectively.