a) Phenology shift effect on population trend a) Phenology shift effect on population trend a) Phenology shift effect on population trend a) Phenology shift effect on population trend
Estimate SE t-value P
Stable (Intercept) -0.1431 0.32 -0.45 0.65
Advance 0.161 0.1433 1.12 0.26
Delay 0.0246 0.1347 0.18 0.85
b) NRB shift effect on population trend b) NRB shift effect on population trend b) NRB shift effect on population trend b) NRB shift effect on population trend
Estimate SE t-value P
Stable (Intercept) -0.2335 0.2923 -0.8 0.425
North 0.3729 0.1731 2.15 0.032
South -0.0158 0.1736 -0.09 0.928
c) Phenology shift effect on shift in NRB c) Phenology shift effect on shift in NRB c) Phenology shift effect on shift in NRB c) Phenology shift effect on shift in NRB
Stable (Intercept) -0.217 0.2904 -0.75 0.46
Advance 0.1263 0.1448 0.87 0.38
Delay -0.0201 0.136 -0.15 0.88
d) Combined effect on population trend d) Combined effect on population trend d) Combined effect on population trend d) Combined effect on population trend
Estimate SE t-value P
Delay or Stable + Southwards or Stable (Intercept) -0.2494 0.2968 -0.84 0.4015
Advance + Northwards 0.5479 0.179 3.06 0.0024
Advance + Southwards or Stable 0.0407 0.1726 0.24 0.8139
Delay or stable + Northwards 0.3228 0.1359 2.38 0.0182
e) Hypothesis-wise effect on population trend e) Hypothesis-wise effect on population trend e) Hypothesis-wise effect on population trend e) Hypothesis-wise effect on population trend
Estimate SE t-value P
Hypothesis 0 (Intercept) -0.248 0.319 -0.78 0.4383
Hypothesis 1 0.228 0.122 1.86 0.0639
Hypothesis 2 0.552 0.179 3.08 0.0023